Game Result Predictions
Sunday, February 24

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Coleman Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia
(18-12, Road 4-7)
76 64 -4.0 64% 124 64 -5.5 88%
Alabama
(14-17, Home 9-6)
67 60 +4.0 36% Actual:
143 (19)
59 +5.5 12%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bud Walton Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Ole Miss
(9-22, Road 1-8)
61 60 +16.0 10% 136 56 +23.5 0%
Arkansas
(22-15, Home 11-7)
73 76 -16.0 90% Actual:
134 (-2)
79 -23.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Auburn Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Missouri
(24-11, Road 7-6)
54 61 +3.0 39% 125 63 -3.5 77%
Auburn
(21-10, Home 9-5)
58 64 -3.0 61% Actual:
112 (-13)
60 +3.5 23%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Haas Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arizona
(24-13, Road 4-7)
76 68 +1.0 46% 137 66 +2.5 27%
California
(20-13, Home 9-5)
82 69 -1.0 54% Actual:
158 (21)
69 -2.5 73%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CBU Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cal State Bakersfield
(12-17, Road 5-12)
43 64 +13.0 14% 141 65 +10.0 3%
California Baptist
(14-12, Home 7-5)
67 77 -13.0 86% Actual:
110 (-31)
75 -10.0 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Koessler Athletic Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Monmouth
(14-17, Road 7-8)
56 57 +4.0 36% 118 60 -2.5 72%
Canisius
(11-19, Home 7-8)
65 61 -4.0 64% Actual:
121 (3)
57 +2.5 28%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
TD Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Drexel
(24-9, Road 12-2)
65 65 -16.0 90% 114 69 -24.0 100%
Charleston
(6-23, Home 4-10)
42 49 +16.0 10% Actual:
107 (-7)
45 +24.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Littlejohn Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech
(22-12, Road 4-6)
66 70 -2.0 58% 138 65 +6.5 10%
Clemson
(20-13, Home 12-5)
73 68 +2.0 42% Actual:
139 (1)
72 -6.5 90%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CU Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Washington
(11-21, Road 2-9)
60 63 +6.0 30% 132 67 -2.5 72%
Colorado
(12-18, Home 10-7)
46 69 -6.0 70% Actual:
106 (-26)
64 +2.5 28%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Wintrust Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Butler
(23-10, Road 7-5)
62 70 +6.0 30% 146 63 +18.5 0%
DePaul
(26-8, Home 14-4)
76 76 -6.0 70% Actual:
138 (-8)
82 -18.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Knapp Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Indiana State
(10-19, Road 7-9)
77 60 +23.0 4% 143 51 +38.5 0%
Drake
(26-7, Home 10-2)
96 83 -23.0 96% Actual:
173 (30)
90 -38.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Schar Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Towson
(20-13, Road 10-8)
59 71 -4.0 64% 138 75 -13.0 99%
Elon
(8-21, Home 4-10)
50 67 +4.0 36% Actual:
109 (-29)
62 +13.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Webster Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Iona
(5-26, Road 2-12)
56 43 +15.0 11% 101 44 +11.5 2%
Fairfield
(11-20, Home 5-7)
67 58 -15.0 89% Actual:
123 (22)
55 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Rose Hill Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UMass
(16-16, Road 6-8)
64 52 +9.0 22% 113 43 +25.0 0%
Fordham
(25-9, Home 12-3)
76 61 -9.0 78% Actual:
140 (27)
68 -25.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
EagleBank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Dayton
(17-14, Road 2-11)
51 65 -3.0 61% 127 65 -4.5 84%
George Mason
(16-14, Home 10-5)
54 62 +3.0 39% Actual:
105 (-22)
60 +4.5 16%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Charles E. Smith Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Bonaventure
(8-22, Road 4-12)
44 49 +7.0 27% 105 46 +11.0 2%
George Washington
(10-20, Home 6-9)
57 56 -7.0 73% Actual:
101 (-4)
57 -11.0 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McDonough Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint John's
(15-16, Road 7-7)
80 56 +5.0 33% 117 53 +9.5 3%
Georgetown
(19-16, Home 11-5)
82 61 -5.0 67% Actual:
162 (45)
62 -9.5 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
State Farm Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Penn State
(12-18, Road 3-8)
76 70 +4.0 36% 144 72 -1.0 61%
Illinois
(10-20, Home 8-9)
65 74 -4.0 64% Actual:
141 (-3)
71 +1.0 39%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
LSU
(16-13, Road 5-6)
52 53 +10.0 20% 116 50 +15.0 0%
Kentucky
(25-8, Home 15-3)
57 63 -10.0 80% Actual:
109 (-7)
65 -15.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Boston College
(14-16, Road 4-6)
51 63 +24.0 4% 150 54 +41.0 0%
Louisville
(32-4, Home 15-1)
87 87 -24.0 96% Actual:
138 (-12)
95 -41.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Joseph J. Gentile Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Missouri State
(25-10, Road 10-5)
85 71 -12.0 84% 130 79 -29.0 100%
Loyola-Chicago
(13-18, Home 8-7)
58 59 +12.0 16% Actual:
143 (13)
50 +29.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cross Insurance Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Stony Brook
(22-8, Road 10-5)
61 58 +7.0 27% 123 53 +15.0 0%
Maine
(25-8, Home 13-1)
71 65 -7.0 73% Actual:
132 (9)
68 -15.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Draddy Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Peter's
(6-24, Road 2-13)
46 48 +16.0 10% 112 43 +24.5 0%
Manhattan
(12-19, Home 7-9)
62 64 -16.0 90% Actual:
108 (-4)
68 -24.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Al McGuire Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Xavier
(11-19, Road 2-9)
53 55 +30.0 1% 140 52 +34.5 0%
Marquette
(27-8, Home 15-2)
79 85 -30.0 99% Actual:
132 (-8)
87 -34.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Elma Roane Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Houston
(15-16, Road 9-8)
59 67 -5.0 67% 129 67 -6.5 91%
Memphis
(11-20, Home 6-10)
57 62 +5.0 33% Actual:
116 (-13)
60 +6.5 9%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Watsco Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida State
(24-9, Road 8-3)
54 63 +7.0 27% 133 63 +5.0 14%
Miami (FL)
(25-9, Home 16-3)
64 70 -7.0 73% Actual:
118 (-15)
68 -5.0 86%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Breslin Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan
(22-12, Road 5-9)
64 71 +3.0 39% 145 71 +0.5 47%
Michigan State
(21-12, Home 15-1)
74 74 -3.0 61% Actual:
138 (-7)
72 -0.5 53%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Humphrey Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Vanderbilt
(7-23, Road 2-10)
70 54 +38.0 0% 146 49 +47.0 0%
Mississippi State
(33-3, Home 15-1)
86 92 -38.0 100% Actual:
156 (10)
96 -47.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Gallagher Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Rider
(19-13, Road 10-5)
79 68 -4.0 64% 132 72 -13.5 99%
Niagara
(12-19, Home 8-6)
64 64 +4.0 36% Actual:
143 (11)
59 +13.5 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carmichael Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina State
(28-6, Road 8-2)
74 74 -3.0 61% 145 77 -11.5 98%
North Carolina
(18-15, Home 10-4)
69 71 +3.0 39% Actual:
143 (-2)
66 +11.5 2%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Solomon Court Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Hofstra
(10-22, Road 4-10)
63 60 +15.0 11% 135 59 +14.5 1%
Northeastern
(20-12, Home 12-3)
62 75 -15.0 89% Actual:
125 (-10)
74 -14.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McLeod Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Evansville
(4-26, Road 2-13)
46 51 +25.0 3% 127 47 +31.0 0%
Northern Iowa
(19-13, Home 10-3)
95 76 -25.0 97% Actual:
141 (14)
78 -31.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
BB&T Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cleveland State
(8-20, Road 3-12)
55 60 +5.0 33% 125 57 +9.5 3%
Northern Kentucky
(10-18, Home 7-4)
74 65 -5.0 67% Actual:
129 (4)
66 -9.5 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Matthew Knight Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
USC
(17-13, Road 6-8)
78 63 +23.0 4% 149 60 +27.5 0%
Oregon
(32-5, Home 16-1)
96 86 -23.0 96% Actual:
174 (25)
87 -27.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Gill Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UCLA
(22-13, Road 9-3)
72 66 +11.0 18% 143 68 +4.5 15%
Oregon State
(26-8, Home 17-1)
75 77 -11.0 82% Actual:
147 (4)
73 -4.5 85%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ryan Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Joseph's
(12-19, Road 4-9)
55 58 -1.0 54% 115 61 -8.5 96%
Rhode Island
(8-21, Home 3-11)
48 57 +1.0 46% Actual:
103 (-12)
52 +8.5 4%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Robins Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
La Salle
(6-25, Road 1-16)
51 55 +6.0 30% 116 54 +8.0 5%
Richmond
(9-21, Home 8-7)
56 61 -6.0 70% Actual:
107 (-9)
62 -8.0 95%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Frost Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Dakota
(26-6, Road 10-3)
78 67 +6.0 30% 140 63 +13.5 1%
South Dakota State
(28-7, Home 13-1)
82 73 -6.0 70% Actual:
160 (20)
76 -13.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Maples Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arizona State
(22-11, Road 7-4)
50 56 +10.0 20% 122 53 +16.0 0%
Stanford
(31-5, Home 15-1)
71 66 -10.0 80% Actual:
121 (-1)
69 -16.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Thompson-Boling Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina
(23-10, Road 9-2)
82 76 +1.0 46% 153 79 -6.5 91%
Tennessee
(19-13, Home 10-7)
67 77 -1.0 54% Actual:
149 (-4)
72 +6.5 9%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Devlin Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
SMU
(11-19, Road 1-10)
64 50 +9.0 22% 109 51 +6.0 11%
Tulane
(15-15, Home 8-7)
60 59 -9.0 78% Actual:
124 (15)
57 -6.0 89%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reynolds Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Connecticut
(35-3, Road 12-2)
68 80 -29.0 98% 131 84 -39.5 100%
Tulsa
(13-18, Home 8-6)
49 51 +29.0 2% Actual:
117 (-14)
45 +39.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Trask Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Delaware
(16-15, Road 6-7)
64 60 +4.0 36% 124 61 +1.0 39%
UNCW
(16-12, Home 11-1)
72 64 -4.0 64% Actual:
136 (12)
62 -1.0 61%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Jon M. Huntsman Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Washington State
(9-21, Road 1-10)
67 63 +17.0 9% 143 65 +12.0 1%
Utah
(20-10, Home 13-3)
75 80 -17.0 91% Actual:
142 (-1)
77 -12.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Athletics-Recreation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Illinois
(15-15, Road 5-8)
58 71 -9.0 78% 133 71 -10.5 97%
Valparaiso
(8-24, Home 4-11)
47 62 +9.0 22% Actual:
105 (-28)
60 +10.5 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Finneran Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Seton Hall
(15-16, Road 3-10)
68 68 +6.0 30% 142 64 +13.5 1%
Villanova
(19-13, Home 11-4)
73 74 -6.0 70% Actual:
141 (-1)
77 -13.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
John Paul Jones Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Tech
(17-13, Road 3-8)
45 63 -5.0 67% 121 59 +0.5 50%
Virginia
(12-19, Home 8-8)
53 58 +5.0 33% Actual:
98 (-23)
60 -0.5 50%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Lawrence Joel Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duke
(15-15, Road 4-8)
55 60 -4.0 64% 116 64 -13.0 99%
Wake Forest
(10-20, Home 7-10)
44 56 +4.0 36% Actual:
99 (-17)
51 +13.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Kaplan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
James Madison
(29-6, Road 11-4)
78 66 -10.0 80% 122 70 -19.5 100%
William & Mary
(15-16, Home 7-7)
65 56 +10.0 20% Actual:
143 (21)
51 +19.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Nutter Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Youngstown State
(20-10, Road 6-8)
65 66 +1.0 46% 133 57 +17.5 0%
Wright State
(26-7, Home 11-1)
70 67 -1.0 54% Actual:
135 (2)
74 -17.5 100%